Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.7% | 99.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +9 (61-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| N. Welch | 37 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 36 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| T. Anderson | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 33 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Frye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Henke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Teets | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Plaisted | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Young | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Ainge | 34 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Cummard | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Balderson | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Rose | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Murdock | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Burgess | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter