Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 40 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 12 | - |
| T. Walton | 38 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Morgan | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| G. Suton | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Naymick | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| I. Ibok | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Joseph | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Oden | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Butler | 36 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Lewis | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Conley | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| I. Harris | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Cook | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| O. Hunter | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Lighty | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter