Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (24.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats -28 (64-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Terry | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Lawson | 30 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| W. Ellington | 28 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Thompson | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| W. Miller | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shakur | 39 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 9 | - |
| I. Radenovic | 35 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. McClellan | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Budinger | 21 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Hill | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Williams | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Dillon | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Wise | 11 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Brielmaier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Onobun | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Hollingsworth | 0 | 2-18 | 0-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Whisonant | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Arnold | 0 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A. Njonkou | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Neabors | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter