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2007-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.1% 28.9% -
Efficiency 95.3% 4.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% -
Log Adjusted 86.4% 13.6% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato 40 1-7 1-5 8-13 1 5 3 0 2 11 11 -
C. Hughes 35 8-10 0-1 0-3 6 2 0 1 1 16 14 -
P. Nelson 27 2-3 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 1 0 8 10 -
C. Holmes 25 5-9 0-2 9-9 6 1 2 1 4 19 16 -
J. Abromaitis 18 2-3 1-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
N. Holmes 15 3-4 1-2 4-5 2 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
T. Pinick 13 2-5 0-1 2-4 2 2 2 1 2 6 6 -
M. Kyle 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 6 3 -
R. Morin 10 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 1 6 3 -
A. Zampier 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 37 5-9 2-3 4-6 2 1 0 0 5 16 5 -
B. Cusworth 36 12-18 0-2 4-6 10 0 1 0 3 28 18 -
J. Goffredo 35 3-10 1-6 2-3 1 3 1 0 3 9 1 -
E. Harris 26 1-5 0-0 4-6 4 1 2 1 2 6 7 -
A. Pusar 23 1-2 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Lin 18 4-6 0-1 2-2 2 4 3 0 3 10 10 -
B. Unger 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Lambert 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Darcy 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
D. Finkton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Blankenau 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter