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2007-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% -
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +12 (89-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor 38 7-13 1-5 4-5 4 3 2 0 3 19 12 -
M. Leunen 30 3-7 1-3 3-4 8 1 1 0 2 10 11 -
T. Porter 29 4-10 2-7 1-2 0 5 0 0 4 11 2 -
C. Oguchi 28 5-9 3-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 15 11 -
M. Hairston 27 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 10 3 -
R. Schafer 19 5-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 10 6 -
C. Odia 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 0 2 -
J. Catron 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
M. Platt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dentmon 34 8-15 0-1 8-10 6 7 3 0 6 24 19 -
J. Brockman 31 4-9 0-0 6-6 8 1 0 0 0 14 14 -
S. Hawes 29 7-10 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 15 10 -
R. Appleby 25 5-10 4-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 16 8 -
P. Nelson 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
Q. Pondexter 18 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 3 1 0 1 4 8 -
A. Oliver 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
H. Gasser 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Wallace 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Burmeister 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter