Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.4% | 3.6% | -18.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Monroe | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Freshour | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Miller | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Gladden | 0 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams | 0 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
* = starter