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2007-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% -
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bales 0 5-10 0-0 5-7 9 0 0 0 0 15 14 -
C. Gay 0 6-10 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 14 12 -
A. Waner 0 5-15 1-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 13 1 -
W. Smith 0 4-6 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
L. Harding 0 2-8 0-1 8-10 6 0 0 0 0 12 10 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Monroe 0 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
M. Freshour 0 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Miller 0 6-11 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
A. Gladden 0 7-18 0-1 3-6 7 0 0 0 0 17 6 -
S. Williams 0 2-12 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 -3 -

* = starter