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2007-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% -
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% -

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Greene 0 4-8 4-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
E. Geraghty 0 6-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 14 11 -
P. Cruz 0 5-14 1-4 4-4 12 7 1 0 0 15 21 -
K. Younan 0 0-1 0-1 4-9 6 3 0 0 0 4 12 -
E. Moldre 0 4-8 2-4 4-4 2 4 2 0 0 14 14 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Robinson 0 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 10 11 -
S. Rohde 0 6-11 2-2 0-2 7 4 1 0 0 14 15 -
K. Drabyn 0 3-12 1-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 -2 -
M. Hatten 0 2-6 1-4 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
B. Hughes 0 5-12 1-5 5-8 1 1 4 0 0 16 10 -

* = starter