Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Humphrey | 37 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Noah | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Green | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Horford | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 23 | - |
| C. Brewer | 28 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| W. Hodge | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Richard | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Powell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Werner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Speights | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 33 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Delk | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Stewart | 27 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Slater | 26 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Delk | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Varnado | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter