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2007-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% -
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -11 (53-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Byars 35 6-14 3-7 3-6 10 4 2 0 4 18 16 -
S. Foster 34 5-12 2-5 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 14 7 -
D. Cage 34 4-7 4-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 14 12 -
A. Gordon 29 3-10 1-5 0-0 10 2 2 0 0 7 11 -
R. Neltner 28 1-5 0-2 0-1 4 2 0 1 2 2 2 -
J. Beal 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
T. Skuchas 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 0 6 7 -
J. Brown 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Drake 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 38 7-20 2-8 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 16 6 -
G. Davis 36 5-15 0-2 2-4 7 2 1 1 3 12 5 -
G. Temple 33 3-9 2-6 4-4 4 2 1 2 1 12 11 -
B. Voogd 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 3 9 -
D. Lazare 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 3 4 2 -
D. Mason 25 2-8 0-2 2-2 5 2 3 1 0 6 9 -
T. Martin 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter