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2007-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 73.0% 27.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 74.2% 25.8% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -9 (50-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Oden 39 6-7 0-0 5-10 17 0 1 1 1 17 28 -
M. Conley 34 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 3 7 5 -
J. Butler 31 2-7 2-7 3-4 4 3 0 0 3 9 6 -
I. Harris 30 7-9 2-4 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 18 17 -
R. Lewis 29 1-8 1-7 3-6 3 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -
D. Cook 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
O. Hunter 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
D. Lighty 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Terwilliger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Doyle 40 7-11 0-0 1-2 2 3 2 0 6 15 5 -
A. Carson 37 3-7 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 9 9 -
K. Coble 32 4-9 2-7 0-0 2 3 3 1 1 10 9 -
C. Moore 29 2-9 1-8 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 5 1 -
S. Williams 24 4-7 3-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
J. Ryan 23 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Okrzesik 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
I. Tolic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter