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2007-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.0% 32.0% - โœ—
Margin 84.6% 15.4% -9.4 โœ— (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 90.2% 9.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 70.5% 29.5% - โœ—

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Carter 39 10-20 4-9 8-10 5 2 2 1 5 32 17 -
C. Falls 39 5-13 5-12 1-2 5 1 2 0 1 16 10 -
T. Jackson 38 3-9 0-1 0-2 2 8 4 0 5 6 6 -
Z. Hillesland 32 3-8 0-0 0-3 6 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
R. Kurz 27 1-8 0-3 5-6 9 0 1 2 2 7 9 -
L. Harangody 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
L. Zeller 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Peoples 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Lawrence 37 4-8 2-4 3-4 4 7 1 1 10 13 8 -
L. Hamilton 35 8-13 0-2 7-9 12 2 3 1 2 23 26 -
A. Patterson 31 2-8 2-6 1-2 3 1 1 1 1 7 4 -
Q. Calhoun 29 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 3 3 -
A. Mason Jr. 27 4-14 1-5 0-0 8 2 0 2 2 9 5 -
L. Wright 24 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
A. Spears 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Jasiulionis 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 1 6 -
R. Torres 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter