Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (51-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. White | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Calloway | 31 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Wilmont | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Bassett | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| L. Stemler | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. White | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Shaw | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McBride | 37 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| C. Frazier | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Carter | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Smith | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Brock | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Meacham | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter