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2007-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +24 (81-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davidson 39 7-16 0-1 4-4 11 1 2 3 3 18 16 -
R. Steele 39 7-14 5-9 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 19 3 -
A. Gee 38 5-11 0-1 1-2 6 1 4 0 2 11 9 -
M. Riley 33 2-10 0-6 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 4 -5 -
B. Hollinger 26 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 4 1 -4 -
R. Hendrix 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
D. Jemison 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Torrance 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Y. Coleman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tubbs 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 36 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 10 1 0 2 7 16 -
Q. Prowell 35 6-14 2-4 0-1 10 4 3 2 1 14 18 -
R. Barrett 33 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 9 7 -
J. Dollard 27 7-13 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 1 4 16 8 -
K. Barber 27 8-11 0-0 2-5 6 0 0 0 1 18 12 -
F. Tolbert 24 6-8 3-5 2-2 2 1 3 2 0 17 17 -
D. Reed 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 1 3 0 2 -
A. Miaway 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Luquire 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Brooks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Heramb 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Hargrove 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter