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2007-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.7% 3.3% -
Bradley-Terry 90.4% 9.6% -
Margin 96.1% 3.9% -17.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 72.4% 27.6% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -12 (68-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #15400 * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 19 23 -
M. Bouldin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 10 18 -
Player #10973 * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 17 24 -
J. Pargo * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 10 17 -
J. Heytvelt * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 14 20 -
M. Downs 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 5 11 -
A. Kuso 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 7 -
D. Pendergraft 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 5 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 15 19 -
S. Watson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 8 12 -
B. Averette * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 9 11 -
J. Jones * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
E. Niedermeyer * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
D. Cooper 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 17 19 -
B. Sullivan 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 7 13 -
Player #11161 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 6 12 -
M. Carter 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 6 -
W. Thompson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter