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San Diego State Aztecs 51
@
Air Force Falcons 56
2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 98.3% 1.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 78.6% 21.4% - ✗
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.4 ✗ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.2% 91.8% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure 39 5-17 3-11 2-2 7 3 3 0 1 15 10 -
L. Wade 37 5-12 0-3 1-2 7 1 3 1 0 11 11 -
M. Abukar 36 2-10 0-3 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 6 3 -
R. Williams 32 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Habel 27 7-9 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 15 10 -
K. Spain 22 1-2 0-1 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 2 4 -
J. Johnson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Pastorek 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McCraw 39 2-8 1-5 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 7 7 -
J. Burtschi 36 7-14 5-10 4-5 9 2 0 0 1 23 19 -
N. Welch 35 2-5 1-4 5-6 3 4 1 0 2 10 11 -
D. Nwaelele 31 4-9 1-3 2-2 3 3 0 1 3 11 6 -
T. Anderson 26 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
A. Henke 16 0-1 0-1 2-5 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Teets 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Frye 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
A. Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Holland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter