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2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Log Adjusted 81.6% 18.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor 36 5-10 2-7 8-8 2 1 0 0 0 20 13 -
A. Tucker 35 6-18 0-4 5-7 8 2 0 0 2 17 7 -
M. Flowers 33 1-4 0-2 2-2 6 3 2 0 3 4 8 -
J. Krabbenhoft 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
G. Stiemsma 21 5-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 12 11 -
M. Landry 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
J. Chappell 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Butch 14 2-7 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
T. Hughes 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Carter 37 4-11 1-3 0-1 5 3 0 2 2 9 6 -
R. McBride 33 5-10 4-7 1-2 3 1 0 0 4 15 5 -
C. Frazier 31 3-9 1-4 2-4 5 1 0 1 0 9 7 -
S. Pruitt 31 7-11 0-0 5-7 14 0 0 0 1 19 21 -
B. Randle 26 2-4 0-1 4-5 2 0 0 2 0 8 8 -
C. Brock 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
J. Smith 11 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -5 -
T. Meacham 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Carlwell 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter