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Georgia Bulldogs 76
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 78
2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - ✓
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% - ✗
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% - ✗

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gaines 35 7-11 5-6 3-5 6 6 1 0 2 22 22 -
T. Brown 33 9-14 0-0 3-3 10 0 0 0 3 21 14 -
M. Mercer 32 6-11 2-4 1-2 2 0 3 0 1 15 8 -
L. Stukes 31 4-10 3-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 12 4 -
S. Newman 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 2 -1 -
B. Humphrey 22 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Bliss 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Singleton 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 39 7-12 2-5 5-8 6 2 0 0 1 21 16 -
J. Davidson 37 4-10 0-0 8-10 5 1 0 0 2 16 10 -
R. Steele 37 4-9 3-7 2-3 2 1 2 2 2 13 9 -
M. Riley 33 5-7 3-5 4-4 3 3 4 0 3 17 17 -
R. Hendrix 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 3 6 9 -
B. Hollinger 17 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Jemison 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
J. Tubbs 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Y. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter