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2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crittenton 36 2-10 1-4 2-2 2 3 2 0 7 7 -3 -
R. Dickey 33 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 5 6 3 -
T. Young 32 10-16 2-5 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 22 8 -
J. Smith 27 2-6 0-0 2-6 5 2 2 0 2 6 7 -
A. Morrow 22 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
M. West 19 0-5 0-2 2-2 6 2 3 0 1 2 7 -
Z. Peacock 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
M. Faye 11 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 3 -
D. Bell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Diaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 31 5-11 0-0 14-15 6 1 1 0 3 24 18 -
B. Wright 28 3-6 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 1 1 9 10 -
T. Lawson 26 2-5 1-2 2-5 5 4 1 0 4 7 8 -
R. Terry 25 7-9 2-2 0-3 4 0 1 1 3 16 10 -
W. Ellington 21 3-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 7 3 -
D. Green 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 5 7 -
D. Thompson 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 1 2 2 5 -
Q. Thomas 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 0 6 -
M. Ginyard 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
W. Miller 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
A. Stepheson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Copeland 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Burke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter