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2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 81.1% 18.9% -
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% -
Margin 71.7% 28.3% -5.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% -
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.9% 13.1% -
Log Adjusted 87.0% 13.0% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -23 (56-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts 36 5-9 0-1 3-4 8 2 4 2 0 13 20 -
J. Scheyer 34 6-11 3-7 5-5 5 3 1 0 1 20 17 -
D. Nelson 34 6-14 2-4 1-2 6 4 2 0 1 15 12 -
G. Paulus 28 5-11 2-7 1-2 2 4 1 0 2 13 7 -
D. McClure 26 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 4 0 1 10 12 -
G. Henderson 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 4 8 2 -
L. Thomas 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
B. Zoubek 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Pocius 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davidson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Pagliuca 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McCauley 38 2-8 0-0 5-7 5 3 1 0 5 9 5 -
G. Grant 33 1-6 1-3 4-4 1 1 0 0 2 7 1 -
C. Fells 32 4-10 1-3 4-4 1 1 1 1 4 13 3 -
B. Costner 29 4-10 1-4 11-12 10 1 0 0 5 20 16 -
D. Horner 26 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
B. Nieman 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
T. Ferguson 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 0 -3 -
D. Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Albritton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter