Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -23 (56-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McRoberts | 36 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 34 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| D. Nelson | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| G. Paulus | 28 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. McClure | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| G. Henderson | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Pocius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davidson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McCauley | 38 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| G. Grant | 33 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Fells | 32 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| B. Costner | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Horner | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Nieman | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Ferguson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Albritton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter