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2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 38 6-11 2-5 2-2 7 7 1 1 4 16 17 -
D. Byars 35 7-12 4-7 5-8 8 3 1 1 4 23 20 -
D. Cage 31 2-6 2-5 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
R. Neltner 29 3-7 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 8 9 -
A. Gordon 25 3-5 1-3 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 8 8 -
J. Beal 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 1 -2 -
T. Skuchas 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Brown 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Drake 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Metcalfe 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 38 4-17 4-10 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 12 4 -
R. Bradley 36 5-11 0-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 10 3 -
R. Morris 31 4-8 0-0 3-4 7 3 1 2 3 11 13 -
B. Perry 30 5-7 2-3 1-2 3 4 1 0 2 13 12 -
D. Jasper 25 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 6 10 -
J. Meeks 17 1-6 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
S. Thomas 17 4-6 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 12 12 -
P. Stevenson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Obrzut 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Porter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter