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2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 3.0% 97.0% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Log Adjusted 17.0% 83.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 40 4-12 1-3 2-4 11 2 0 0 4 11 8 -
I. Radenovic 39 7-13 1-3 5-6 8 1 3 0 1 20 18 -
M. Shakur 35 3-7 0-1 6-6 4 8 1 1 3 12 16 -
J. McClellan 33 2-9 0-2 3-3 3 2 1 0 1 7 3 -
C. Budinger 31 4-11 0-4 2-2 8 2 2 0 2 10 9 -
D. Dillon 18 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
J. Hill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Wise 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 37 5-11 0-1 4-5 5 7 2 0 2 14 15 -
A. Afflalo 36 9-14 3-6 1-5 2 2 0 0 2 22 10 -
J. Shipp 34 4-7 0-3 1-2 1 4 0 1 2 9 6 -
A. Aboya 25 1-5 0-0 4-4 11 0 1 0 1 6 12 -
M. Roll 25 4-11 3-9 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
L. Mata-Real 22 2-2 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 2 1 4 10 -
R. Westbrook 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
J. Keefe 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -

* = starter