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2007-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.1% 23.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Williams 0 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
D. Burgin 0 8-16 0-0 0-1 10 2 0 0 0 16 12 -
T. Ray 0 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 3 5 -
A. Jones 0 3-8 2-3 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
S. Gregory 0 9-16 0-1 6-7 4 6 3 0 0 24 21 -

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Thomas 0 5-6 0-0 0-2 11 0 1 0 0 10 16 -
K. Powell 0 4-10 2-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 12 9 -
C. Campion 0 5-13 0-1 0-1 2 4 0 0 0 10 3 -
S. Williams 0 1-10 0-2 0-2 6 5 1 0 0 2 4 -
D. Hendrix 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter