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2007-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Log Adjusted 24.0% 76.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +21 (94-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele 39 1-11 1-8 2-2 2 6 0 0 2 5 0 -
M. Riley 37 8-18 5-14 0-1 3 1 5 1 1 21 12 -
A. Gee 32 3-12 1-4 4-4 8 3 0 2 3 11 9 -
J. Davidson 31 7-17 2-2 2-3 7 2 1 1 4 18 8 -
R. Hendrix 29 6-10 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 0 1 14 15 -
D. Jemison 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Hollinger 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Tubbs 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Torrance 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Y. Coleman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 31 9-15 5-9 4-5 3 5 2 1 2 27 21 -
D. Cage 31 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 5 0 1 1 12 13 -
R. Neltner 30 6-8 1-1 1-1 6 4 2 0 2 14 16 -
D. Byars 29 6-11 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 15 9 -
A. Gordon 24 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 12 13 -
J. Beal 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 2 4 -
T. Skuchas 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 4 0 2 7 -
G. Drake 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Brown 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
A. Metcalfe 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Hammond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter