Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Clemson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson Tigers -22 (55-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| B. Wright | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| R. Terry | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| W. Ellington | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Lawson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Thompson | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Miller | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Clemson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hammonds | 32 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Mays | 32 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| V. Hamilton | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K.C. Rivers | 23 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Booker | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Perry | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Potter | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Sykes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Powell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Morris | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Petrukonis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter