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2007-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 19.8% 80.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +32 (73-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Doyle 37 3-10 0-1 0-0 3 3 3 1 2 6 4 -
C. Moore 31 4-11 3-10 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 11 -5 -
A. Carson 29 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 5 5 -
J. Ryan 28 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 3 0 3 2 3 -
S. Williams 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 5 4 -
J. Okrzesik 18 2-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
J. Nash 14 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
I. Tolic 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Melchior 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Steger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Houlihan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Conley 32 7-10 2-2 1-2 3 10 4 0 1 17 23 -
G. Oden 29 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 5 1 5 12 -
J. Butler 26 5-6 4-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 16 7 -
R. Lewis 24 2-8 1-6 4-4 3 2 2 0 3 9 5 -
D. Cook 23 4-11 1-5 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 9 7 -
O. Hunter 20 2-3 0-0 6-6 5 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
I. Harris 20 2-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
D. Lighty 13 1-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
M. Terwilliger 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Titus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter