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2007-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 (34.8 off)
Pythagorean 79.1% 20.9% -
Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Log Adjusted 94.3% 5.7% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -38 (49-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 29 9-12 3-5 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 23 15 -
R. Morris 28 8-13 0-0 1-1 11 0 0 3 1 17 17 -
R. Bradley 28 5-7 5-7 0-0 5 6 2 0 1 15 20 -
B. Perry 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 2 -1 -
D. Jasper 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 1 2 3 9 -
S. Thomas 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 0 0 8 -
J. Meeks 15 4-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
P. Stevenson 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 8 8 -
M. Porter 11 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
R. Harris 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 1 3 -
L. Obrzut 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Coury 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wallace 35 1-8 0-2 4-6 3 2 2 3 2 6 6 -
E. Baniulis 34 3-8 2-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
B. Raley-Ross 32 1-7 1-5 1-2 1 2 0 1 0 4 1 -
C. Goree 30 7-12 2-4 3-3 1 1 0 0 2 19 7 -
D. Archie 23 1-5 0-1 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Day 17 2-9 2-6 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
C. Gray 14 0-3 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
B. Sheldon 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Carter 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter