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2007-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% -
Bradley-Terry 15.1% 84.9% -
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -
Log Adjusted 93.3% 6.7% -

Actual: Utah Utes +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burtschi 39 7-14 4-10 3-3 0 2 0 0 1 21 8 -
M. McCraw 38 6-12 3-8 4-4 3 2 2 0 2 19 12 -
D. Nwaelele 38 6-9 3-5 5-5 5 1 3 0 4 20 16 -
T. Anderson 32 3-6 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
N. Welch 24 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 2 4 -
A. Henke 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
J. Frye 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Johnson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nevill 35 8-8 0-0 2-2 10 3 1 2 3 18 23 -
S. Green 35 5-7 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 5 15 8 -
J. Bryant 33 4-8 4-6 6-6 4 4 0 0 2 18 16 -
R. Johns 29 3-5 0-2 8-9 2 2 1 0 1 14 13 -
L. Borha 25 6-7 1-1 0-1 2 4 0 0 2 13 10 -
L. Drca 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 5 -
C. Eatmon 13 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 3 0 0 3 2 3 -
S. Weigh 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Deane 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Foster 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 -

* = starter