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2007-01-16

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 89.0% 11.0% -
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% -
Margin 75.9% 24.1% -6.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.6% 71.4% -
Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Log Adjusted 5.1% 94.9% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 37 5-10 0-0 3-10 7 2 1 1 2 13 12 -
J. Dyson 33 5-16 0-3 1-2 5 1 2 0 1 11 2 -
S. Robinson 27 1-8 1-3 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
A.J. Price 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 6 4 -2 -
H. Thabeet 21 0-0 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 1 7 -
D. Wiggins 17 3-6 0-3 0-1 1 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
J. Mandeldove 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
C. Austrie 14 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
M. Johnson 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
C. Kelly 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray 35 8-16 0-0 6-8 19 2 0 4 4 22 27 -
M. Cook 30 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 6 0 1 2 4 6 -
L. Fields 30 2-6 1-2 1-4 1 2 0 0 4 6 -1 -
A. Graves 28 2-3 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
L. Kendall 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
R. Ramon 22 4-5 4-4 5-6 2 2 0 0 3 17 13 -
S. Young 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Benjamin 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Biggs 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter