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2007-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 94.3% 5.7% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks 40 8-18 3-6 2-2 1 6 3 0 1 21 12 -
M. Leunen 37 6-9 2-2 0-0 14 3 0 2 0 14 24 -
M. Hairston 35 7-11 3-3 1-1 8 4 1 1 3 18 18 -
B. Taylor 34 5-10 4-6 7-8 4 1 1 0 1 21 16 -
T. Porter 29 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -2 -
A. Zahn 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Catron 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Oguchi 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
C. Odia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shakur 40 8-14 1-4 4-5 1 5 1 0 2 21 12 -
M. Williams 39 11-20 2-5 10-10 12 2 1 2 2 34 29 -
I. Radenovic 39 2-9 0-0 2-2 13 2 0 1 2 6 11 -
J. McClellan 34 5-8 0-3 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
C. Budinger 33 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 4 2 -
D. Dillon 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 4 -
J. Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
F. Onobun 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter