Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| W. Ellington | 27 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Wright | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Lawson | 24 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Terry | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| W. Miller | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Thompson | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Frasor | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Green | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Z. Dowdell | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 11-15 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| J. Gordon | 32 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A.D. Vassallo | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| N. Munson | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Diakite | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Sailes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Washington | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Witcher | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Tucker | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Krabbendam | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter