Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Prowell | 39 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 37 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Barrett | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Dollard | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| K. Lewis | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Barber | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Reed | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Temple | 39 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| G. Davis | 39 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Martin | 34 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Lazare | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Mason | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Rolle | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Balla | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Voogd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter