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2007-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 40 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 3 5 -
L. Gunn 38 4-10 3-7 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 13 5 -
J. Conway 32 4-7 0-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 0 11 10 -
M. Strittmatter 24 5-8 3-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 13 6 -
K. Koncz 23 0-6 0-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 -3 -
L. Owings 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Carter 16 4-6 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Z. Finley 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
N. Savage 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 33 4-4 1-1 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
M. Montgomery 31 3-3 1-1 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 11 15 -
B. Loscalzo 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
P. Foley 26 2-5 0-2 7-8 3 2 1 0 2 11 10 -
N. Scott 24 4-7 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 9 3 -
B. Nwachukwu 23 5-7 0-0 1-3 1 1 0 2 1 11 7 -
J. Armstrong 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
K.J. Matsui 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Bova 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Bulger 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter