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2007-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 82.6% 17.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Margin 84.7% 15.3% -9.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dorsey 33 4-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 3 1 8 14 -
R. Dozier 33 6-9 0-2 0-3 3 2 1 3 0 12 12 -
A. Anderson 28 3-6 2-3 1-1 4 4 2 0 2 9 11 -
W. Kemp 28 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 2 0 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 27 6-8 2-2 2-3 2 0 0 0 6 16 4 -
J. Hunt 23 4-7 3-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 4 14 6 -
D. Mack 12 3-3 2-2 3-6 2 1 0 0 0 11 11 -
A. Allen 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 6 3 0 3 5 8 -
K. Cooper 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 5 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Thorpe 38 6-10 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 2 2 14 10 -
R. McKiver 38 9-18 7-13 2-3 1 2 1 0 2 27 11 -
N. Mosley 26 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 0 10 13 -
O. Lafayette 25 3-10 0-4 0-1 4 4 1 0 4 6 1 -
D. Dowell 24 1-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 4 2 -
C. Jones 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Malone 17 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
R. Lee 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Toney 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter