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2007-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 97.0% 3.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 94.1% 5.9% - ✓
Margin 91.8% 8.2% -13.3 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 80.4% 19.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 94.5% 5.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 77.2% 22.8% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kemp 37 12-23 5-7 4-5 8 1 1 0 1 33 19 -
R. Sessions 29 2-9 2-2 2-2 7 5 1 0 2 8 10 -
D. Ikovlev 29 3-6 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 8 10 -
K. Shiloh 29 6-10 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 1 1 14 10 -
D. Ellis 23 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 -
L. Burleson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. McGee 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
M. LaGrone 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Fields 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
T. Hanson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Barbary 35 11-18 0-0 1-5 9 0 1 1 3 23 13 -
C. Spencer 32 7-16 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 1 0 16 8 -
J. Richardson 26 2-8 0-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 0 -
J. Hill 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 7 7 -
K. Buggs 25 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
D. Thomas 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
L. Holloway 22 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
D. Goins 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter