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2007-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +20 (88-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hannah 34 5-14 2-7 3-4 1 3 2 0 2 15 5 -
M. Brown 25 7-11 3-4 7-8 9 1 0 1 2 24 22 -
J. Horton 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 5 4 -
K. Lawrence 22 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J.T. Tiller 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
L. Lyons 21 3-6 0-0 2-3 2 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
M. Lawrence 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Butterfield 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
K. Grimes 14 3-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
M. Watkins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Volkus 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Augustin 37 3-9 1-3 6-11 4 6 2 0 2 13 14 -
J. Mason 36 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 2 3 0 3 8 8 -
K. Durant 36 10-14 2-4 12-13 13 3 1 0 3 34 34 -
A.J. Abrams 26 4-8 4-7 4-4 0 3 0 0 0 16 11 -
D. James 22 1-4 1-1 4-6 5 1 1 3 3 7 10 -
C. Atchley 16 0-1 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
J.D. Lewis 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 6 4 -
M. Hill 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
C. Winder 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Pittman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter