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2007-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 66.3% 33.7% -3.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +1 (82-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 36 11-15 6-7 1-2 2 1 3 0 3 29 17 -
D. Bradshaw 36 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 8 1 1 1 2 12 -
R. Smith 29 7-13 1-3 2-5 2 3 4 1 1 17 13 -
J. Smith 24 2-11 2-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 -2 -
D. Crews 22 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 2 10 9 -
W. Chism 17 4-8 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 2 9 4 -
R. Childress 14 2-6 1-2 0-1 4 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
J. Tabb 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Passley 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Cage 35 4-13 3-8 4-4 7 2 2 0 2 15 11 -
S. Foster 33 7-15 0-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 14 4 -
D. Byars 32 10-16 2-4 3-7 7 1 2 1 2 25 18 -
A. Gordon 26 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 9 0 1 2 9 17 -
T. Skuchas 18 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 2 5 7 -
R. Neltner 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 6 9 -
J. Beal 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
G. Drake 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 5 -
A. Metcalfe 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
J. Brown 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter