Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Singletary | 32 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Diane | 30 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Cain | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Joseph | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Soroye | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Harris | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Tat | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Tucker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Wright | 30 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Terry | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| W. Ellington | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Lawson | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson | 13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Frasor | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter