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2007-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 91.8% 8.2% -
Bradley-Terry 77.0% 23.0% -
Margin 80.0% 20.0% -7.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 73.2% 26.8% -

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts 37 5-10 0-1 2-2 5 2 3 1 3 12 10 -
D. Nelson 35 6-15 0-5 0-0 3 4 4 0 2 12 6 -
J. Scheyer 34 6-16 3-10 1-2 2 4 1 0 4 16 3 -
G. Paulus 29 2-7 1-4 1-3 0 3 0 0 3 6 -1 -
G. Henderson 25 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 6 4 -
L. Thomas 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 3 2 -
B. Zoubek 11 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
D. McClure 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crittenton 35 4-8 0-0 3-3 7 5 2 0 6 11 11 -
R. Dickey 33 6-8 0-0 9-11 6 2 0 1 4 21 18 -
T. Young 32 4-5 2-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 4 11 7 -
J. Smith 30 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 3 3 0 6 4 5 -
M. West 22 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 3 1 3 3 6 -
M. Faye 22 2-7 1-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 5 3 -
A. Morrow 21 4-7 3-5 8-8 2 1 2 0 1 19 16 -
D. Bell 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter