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2007-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Log Adjusted 78.3% 21.7% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Matthews 34 3-5 0-0 4-6 8 2 2 0 5 10 12 -
J. McNeal 34 5-13 0-2 9-13 7 4 2 0 8 19 11 -
O. Barro 33 7-11 0-0 3-4 13 1 0 0 3 17 17 -
D. James 33 5-18 1-5 6-10 4 4 3 0 3 17 7 -
D. Burke 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 2 1 5 9 -
D. Fitzgerald 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Hayward 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 0 -
D. Cubillan 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Lott 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 30 6-14 0-0 6-7 7 0 2 2 3 18 12 -
D. Wiggins 30 4-13 3-6 8-9 3 2 4 0 1 19 14 -
C. Austrie 29 4-11 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 10 2 -
J. Dyson 24 0-5 0-2 6-8 3 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
A.J. Price 22 1-2 0-1 1-2 6 2 2 1 2 3 10 -
C. Kelly 22 2-7 0-0 4-5 7 0 1 1 3 8 7 -
H. Thabeet 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 4 3 3 7 -
M. Johnson 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 0 1 -
S. Robinson 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Mandeldove 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
G. Edwards 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Eaves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter