Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.1% | 2.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.6% | 18.4% | -8.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Prentice | 35 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Toppert | 30 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Danridge | 26 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| R. Kersten | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Faris | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Walter | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Henfield | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Martinez | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anderson | 40 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. McCraw | 40 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 38 | 7-14 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| N. Welch | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Frye | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Henke | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter