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2007-01-09

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Davis 39 9-16 1-3 5-5 17 1 0 3 5 24 24 -
T. Mitchell 36 8-18 1-4 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 19 4 -
G. Temple 36 2-9 0-5 1-1 3 3 2 0 2 5 2 -
D. Lazare 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Martin 20 1-9 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 -4 -
B. Balla 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 2 -1 -
D. Mason 17 1-7 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 3 3 -
M. Rolle 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Riley 37 3-7 2-5 4-4 3 4 1 0 2 12 11 -
J. Davidson 36 4-12 0-1 4-6 12 2 1 1 3 12 13 -
R. Steele 36 2-3 2-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 8 9 -
R. Hendrix 34 8-12 0-0 2-6 6 1 0 1 4 18 10 -
A. Gee 29 5-14 4-7 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 15 8 -
B. Hollinger 16 2-2 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Jemison 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Tubbs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter