Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Davis | 39 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 36 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | - |
| G. Temple | 36 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Lazare | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Martin | 20 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| B. Balla | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Mason | 17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Rolle | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Riley | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Davidson | 36 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Steele | 36 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Gee | 29 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Jemison | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter