Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +4 (90-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Karl | 35 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| R. Larry | 33 | 9-23 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | - |
| M. Nelson | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| E. Lane | 29 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 26 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Thomas | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Robinson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hallberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kemp | 36 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| R. Sessions | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 13-16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Ikovlev | 28 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Fazekas | 15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Ellis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Burleson | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Fields | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. McGee | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Hanson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter