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2007-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 89.4% 10.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 89.8% 10.2% - โœ“
Margin 98.9% 1.1% -25.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 62.1% 37.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 89.8% 10.2% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -32 (54-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bales 0 2-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
C. Gay 0 5-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
A. Waner 0 10-17 2-6 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 23 8 -
W. Smith 0 4-7 1-1 5-5 2 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
L. Harding 0 6-11 0-1 5-6 4 0 0 0 0 17 10 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hall 0 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Haskins 0 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. Diawara 0 5-9 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 0 0 14 13 -
B. Cook 0 5-12 0-3 2-3 7 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
K. Copeland 0 7-15 0-1 3-6 4 0 0 0 0 17 6 -

* = starter