Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +26 (84-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton | 33 | 11-19 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| T. Douglas | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Rich | 29 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| I. Swann | 26 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| U. Echefu | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Allen | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Reid | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Mims | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Breeden | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 27 | - |
| B. Wright | 26 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| T. Lawson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Terry | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| W. Ellington | 20 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Miller | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| B. Frasor | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter