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2007-01-06

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 59.0% 41.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo 35 5-12 4-11 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 14 1 -
J. Shipp 35 6-13 1-5 1-2 4 2 4 0 2 14 9 -
L. Mbah a Moute 32 3-8 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
D. Collison 30 2-8 2-3 5-7 2 3 4 0 4 11 8 -
L. Mata-Real 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
A. Aboya 17 2-4 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
M. Roll 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
R. Westbrook 13 3-5 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Keefe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 38 2-9 2-7 3-3 0 3 0 0 6 9 -3 -
M. Leunen 37 5-8 2-3 6-6 7 2 1 0 0 18 20 -
B. Taylor 37 4-10 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 0 2 11 6 -
A. Brooks 36 9-13 1-1 6-6 3 3 3 0 3 25 18 -
C. Oguchi 18 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 5 1 -
C. Odia 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Zahn 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Catron 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter