Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.9% | 20.1% | -7.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +6 (56-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kruger | 39 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| W. Adams | 35 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| W. White | 29 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| M. Umeh | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Essengue | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Terry | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Anthony | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Darger | 11 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 40 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Anderson | 39 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| N. Welch | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Henke | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Frye | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter