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2007-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -18 (44-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Oden 34 3-12 0-0 1-2 15 0 0 4 3 7 11 -
M. Conley 32 2-7 0-2 1-2 6 8 3 0 2 5 13 -
J. Butler 28 4-10 4-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 12 8 -
D. Cook 24 5-12 2-5 1-1 6 2 1 0 0 13 10 -
R. Lewis 21 2-8 2-7 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
O. Hunter 20 4-4 1-1 1-3 5 0 0 2 0 10 13 -
I. Harris 18 1-9 0-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Lighty 15 1-1 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 3 3 1 -
M. Terwilliger 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Titus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Carter 32 3-11 1-2 4-4 8 0 0 3 3 11 8 -
J. Smith 27 1-9 1-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -3 -
C. Frazier 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 8 3 1 0 4 5 7 -
B. Randle 26 1-7 0-3 3-5 5 1 2 0 1 5 5 -
S. Pruitt 24 3-8 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
R. McBride 20 2-8 0-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
C. Brock 14 1-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
B. Carlwell 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 3 1 4 8 -
T. Meacham 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Arnold 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hicks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter