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2007-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.9% 90.1% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Dowdell 41 8-16 2-3 2-2 3 2 5 0 0 20 14 -
J. Gordon 40 7-11 1-2 2-2 6 2 2 0 3 17 13 -
A. Green 39 5-14 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 11 4 -
D. Washington 35 3-7 0-2 5-8 8 3 4 1 1 11 19 -
M. Sailes 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
A.D. Vassallo 19 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
L. Witcher 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Diakite 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Munson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Krabbendam 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts 44 5-9 0-0 6-12 10 4 0 3 6 16 18 -
J. Scheyer 44 3-7 1-3 5-6 4 1 0 0 2 12 8 -
D. Nelson 39 8-13 4-6 2-2 5 2 2 1 4 22 15 -
G. Henderson 32 4-9 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
D. McClure 25 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 1 6 -
G. Paulus 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 0 -7 -
L. Thomas 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
B. Zoubek 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter